It’s the Spanish general election tomorrow. The ruling party, PSOE (Spanish Socialist Workers’ Party) was slightly ahead in the polls last week. Opinion polls cannot be published in the six days before the election in case they influence the result. But if PSOE is to stay in power they may need to form a coalition with some of the Catalan and/or Basque nationalist parties.

Last time around the general election took place in the wake of the March 11 bombing in Madrid. It is thought to have had a major bearing on the result. This time, a former socialist councillor was shot dead two days before the election. Who knows how this could affect tomorrow’s result.

This week, it has been interesting for me to talk to people at my work in an attempt to try to gauge public opinion. I’ve been struck by the fact that a few people who see themselves as either left-leaning or certainly not peperos (followers of the opposition Partido Popular), think that the Spanish immigration laws need to be severely tightened up and that immigrants are at the heart of many of the problems in modern Spanish society.

In my view, the PP has been playing if not the race card, then certainly the immigrant card. If people who do not see themselves as traditional PP supporters have been won over by this view, then I’d say Mariano Rajoy’s party has a good chance of attracting many floating voters in a number of areas. For that reason, I would not write off the PP’s chances of achieving a largely unexpected victory.

In recent times, Spain has become a country people want to come to live and work in, rather than a European backwater to escape from. Many Spaniards are struggling to come to terms with the increasing number of immigrants. Others are exploiting it for political gain. Rajoy likes to use the word “avalanche” to describe the recent wave of immigration that Spain and many other EU countries have experienced and encouraged. To hear some people talk (Rajoy among them), you’d think crime was virtually non-existent in Spain until all the immigrants arrived.